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SIP Math: Where ₹5,000 a Month Actually Goes

Regional Finance · 6 min read · Last updated September 2026

Quick answer: A SIP is a monthly annuity: FV = P × [(1+i)ⁿ − 1] ÷ i × (1+i). At 12% annual (1% monthly), ₹5,000/month grows to ₹4,12,432 in 5 years (₹3,00,000 invested) and ₹11,61,695 in 10 years (₹6,00,000 invested) — the second decade earns more than the first.

The formula

FV = P × [(1+i)ⁿ − 1] ÷ i × (1+i)

Where P is the monthly amount, i the monthly rate (annual ÷ 12) and n the number of months. Worked example: P = 5,000, i = 0.01 (12%/12), n = 60. (1.01⁶⁰ − 1) ÷ 0.01 = 81.670; × 1.01 = 82.486; × 5,000 = ₹4,12,432. Invested principal: 5,000 × 60 = ₹3,00,000 — so ₹1,12,432 is growth.

Why duration dominates

Why duration dominates
DurationInvestedValue @12%Growth
5 years₹3,00,000₹4,12,432₹1,12,432
10 years₹6,00,000₹11,61,695₹5,61,695

Doubling the time invested 2× the money but produced 5× the growth. Compounding is back-loaded: the final years contribute most of the gain, which is why interrupting a SIP at year 7 costs far more than the 7 years of deposits suggest.

Assumptions to keep honest

The 12% figure is an assumed constant annual return — real equity funds deliver it as a volatile path (−35% years happen), and the formula's smooth curve is a simplification, not a promise. Inflation also shrinks real value: ₹11.6 lakh in 10 years buys roughly what ₹6–7 lakh buys today at 5–6% inflation. Run your own numbers in the SIP Calculator; the Step-up SIP version models the annual increase most salaried investors actually do.

Try the calculators

Worked example: SIP Calculator (Systematic Investment Plan) at its default inputs

Take the default setup on SIP Calculator (Systematic Investment Plan): no fields changed, nothing tuned to a nice round number. Run in the site's own engine, those values produce the answer below.

Default inputs
InputDefault
Monthly Investment ($)500
Expected Annual Return (%)12
Investment Period (years)10

Result: Future Value: $116170

The steps behind that answer

  1. Step 1: 10 years = 120 months
  2. Step 2: Total invested = $60000
  3. Step 3: FV = $116170

Sensitivity: Monthly Investment ($) from half to one-and-a-half times

Monthly Investment ($) is the first input worth testing, so here it is at three sizes.

Sensitivity: Monthly Investment ($) from half to one-and-a-half times
Monthly Investment ($)Result
250Future Value: $58085
500Future Value: $116170
750Future Value: $174254

If the rows barely differ, monthly investment ($) is not your lever — change a different input. If they swing widely, get that number right before trusting the total.

Related guides

Monthly investing versus a lump sum

A systematic plan invests a fixed amount on a schedule, so it buys more units when prices are low and fewer when they are high. That averaging reduces the risk of investing everything at a peak, at the cost of holding cash that could have been invested earlier.

With a lump sum available, investing it immediately has historically beaten spreading it out in most markets, because markets rise more often than they fall. Regular investing wins on behaviour, not on arithmetic: it works because people keep doing it.

Step-up contributions matter more than fund choice

Raising the contribution by 10% a year, in line with income, changes the final corpus far more than a one-point difference in expense ratio over a normal career. The reason is that later contributions are invested for less time, so early increases compound the longest.

Fees still matter, just second. A one-point annual fee on a thirty-year plan removes roughly a fifth of the final value, which is worth checking once and then ignoring.

The return you quote is not the return you get

Fund factsheets show point-to-point or annualised returns for a period that has already ended. Your own return depends on when each instalment went in, which is why an XIRR calculated from your actual cash flows is the honest number.

A plan that started before a crash can show a low trailing return while the money invested after the crash did very well. Judging the strategy on the headline number alone misreads both.

Inflation and the target corpus

A corpus built at 12% nominal over twenty years looks impressive until it is deflated at 6%. Planning in real terms keeps the target honest: decide the monthly income you want in today's money, then solve for the corpus that produces it.

Also decide what happens at the end of the accumulation period. A plan with no withdrawal rule is a savings habit, not a retirement plan.

Frequently asked questions

How is SIP return calculated?

As the future value of a monthly annuity: FV = P × [(1+i)ⁿ − 1] ÷ i × (1+i), with i as the monthly rate. ₹5,000/month at 12% for 5 years ≈ ₹4,12,432 against ₹3,00,000 invested.

What will ₹5,000 a month for 10 years become?

At a constant 12% annual return: about ₹11,61,695 against ₹6,00,000 invested. The real figure depends on actual market returns, which arrive as a volatile path rather than a smooth 12%.

Is a 12% SIP return guaranteed?

No. It is a planning assumption based on long-run equity history. Treat outputs as illustrations, and judge a SIP on 7–10+ year horizons where volatility averages out more.

What is a step-up SIP?

One where the monthly amount rises each year, typically with your salary. Because later deposits are larger, step-up SIPs end substantially higher than flat SIPs at the same duration.

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